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338Canada Ontario | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections
WEBThe odds of winning and of outcome are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations, using vote projections per riding, past results, and various demographic data as the main variables.
338canada.comOntario polls - 338Canada
WEBMar 1, 2020 — Ontario provincial polls. [** Double asterix indicates this is an internal poll or a poll coming from a partisan source. These polls are listed on this page for information purposes, but are not included in the projections.]
338canada.comWelcome to 338Canada
WEBSep 22, 2024 — The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data.
338canada.comOntario | 338Canada
WEBThe seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
338canada.comFederal polls, Ontario | 338Canada
WEBImportant note: Some polls are not be listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as the Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections. Firm Date (middle)
338canada.comList of all 124 electoral districts | Ontario - 338Canada
WEBJul 29, 2024 — 338Canada Ontario | All 124 districts. Ontario Map. Ontario Polls. Ontario Simulator. Latest update: July 29, 2024. 63 seats needed for a majority. Safe. Likely. Leaning.
338canada.comCanada polls | 338Canada
WEBImportant note: Some polls are not be listed below because their data is behind a paywall (such as most Nanos weekly updates), but they are included in the projections.
338canada.com338Canada | Leger federal poll, September 2024
WEBSep 7, 2024 — This federal poll was fielded by Léger in September 2024, with a middle field date of September 7, 2024. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,521 Canadian respondents via an online panel.
338canada.comToronto | 338Canada Ontario
WEBJul 29, 2024 — Toronto, 25 districts 12 [10-14] 7 [4-10] 6 [5-8] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | July 29, 2024. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
338canada.comToronto—St. Paul’s - 338Canada
WEBSep 22, 2024 — The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here. 50% 100% Toronto—St. Paul’s 81% 19% <1% Odds of winning | September 22, 2024. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today.
338canada.com