Benfords Law
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Do vote counts for Joe Biden in the 2020 election violate …
Nov 7, 2020 · Benford's law, also called the Newcomb–Benford law, the law of anomalous numbers, or the first-digit law, is an observation about the frequency distribution of leading digits in many real-life sets of numerical data. The law states that in many naturally occurring collections of numbers, the leading digit is likely to be small.
Skeptics.stackexchange.comWhy does Benford's Law work? : r/math - Reddit
It holds for the time until a light-bulb blows, but not for a dice roll. The reason Benford's law has something to say about the distribution of the first digits of people's incomes (and, in fact, the subsequent digits too) is that the distribution happens to …
Reddit.comr/benfordslaw - Reddit
Benford's Law is an observation about the frequency distribution of leading digits in many real-life sets of numerical data. Try it. It will blow your mind. Feel free to post example you've discovered and relevant news.
Reddit.comELI5: Benford's law. How does it happen at all?
Aug 11, 2020 · That's where Benford's Law shows up. When numbers grow by multiplication (like population growth or prices with inflation), we need to think of distance in terms of ratios. So 900 and 1000 are closer together than 100 and 200. So if you threw darts at the (logarithmic) interval between 100 and 1000, you'd be much more likely to hit somewhere
Reddit.comELI5: How does Benford's law work? : r/explainlikeimfive - Reddit
Jan 10, 2021 · If you expand this for a long time, it will eventually match the proportions in Benford's Law. One intuition is that this is because of how much "energy" it takes to move between digits. Moving from '1' to '2' is +100%! Moving from '8' to '9' is a paltry +12.5% - easy. It doesn't matter whether it's increasing from $1 to $2, or $100,000 to
Reddit.comELI5 What is Benford's Law? : r/explainlikeimfive - Reddit
100 - 100-199 10 - 10-19 1 - 1. Add it up and you get 111, out of 999, or 11.111%. Now, in reality, it's really unlikely that a distribution of things stops at a nice number like 99, 999, or 9999 - it's going to be some random, dirty looking number like 152131. But that actually skews the distribution even worse in favor of the 1s, because
Reddit.comEli5 please explain what Benford’s law is and how is used to
May 10, 2021 · This is unlikely, but it can happen. Thus, "not respecting Benford's Law" is NOT a proof of fraud. But it does make something suspicious, and worth investigating into more details to make sure no Fraud happened. TL;DR : it can be a good indicator, but can have false positives, and thus is not enough to detect fraud. 2.
Reddit.comHas anyone here played with Benford's Law in their strategies?
Benford's Law makes some intuitive sense when you consider variables that span many orders of magnitude, it's not very surprising. Say you had a random variable that selects a number from a Uniform(1,10). In this case, selecting a number with a leading digit of '1' is very slightly more likely (including the '10' is what makes it unbalanced).
Reddit.com[Question] Benford's Law isn't surprising or counterintuitive
What you are missing is that if you restrict your sample to people with 3 digit numbers of followers, Benford's law doesn't work. Benford's law only works when the data is spread over many different orders of magnitude. It also works even when large numbers are easier to get than small numbers. EDIT: I misstated this slightly.
Reddit.comBenford's law : r/Accounting - Reddit
Nov 9, 2020 · All it does is tell you the numbers look a little funky. Remember acting on election fraud requires quite a high level of certainty given that you're essentially overruling a democratic process. So you need to be very sure of it. Things like Benford's law or some fool ranting on twitter doesn't cut it. 3.
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